MONITOR WHITE HOUSE

“If you look at, if you produce this result, if you took the CNN poll, NBC Wall Street Journal poll, and they're both telephone polls... Trump said, he said 40. Now that's a ridiculously low number. If we think the third party vote is 2, then that produces a result of, you ready? 58, 40. Way bigger than Reagan, I think.”

“The first one was John Cronin, the Republican incumbent in Texas, went to the Houston Chronicle and criticized Trump's response to the virus. That immediately tells you he's getting slaughtered on the west side of Houston and woodlands and these kinds of places. In Arizona, Martha McSally refused to kind of say nice things about Trump.”

“So tonight, as a friend of mine pointed out, the infection rate on just the White House campus at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue is currently 23 times the entire country of New Zealand. Think about that. Just that block. I could not imagine a more miserable place to work now.”

“I feel very optimistic that we'll be well over, you know, I think we'll be closer to 55, to 50 I really do. Because I just can't see how, given the current environment and the current national mood, and, you know, you just keep hearing Republican posters telling people we're doomed.”

“But it also strikes me, you know, in all that I've covered, that when it's really close at the end, the vast majority of times it breaks against the incumbent. That's a pretty general but accurate rule to make about American politics.”