WATCH PREDICTION MARKETS

MAR 19, 2026Joe Lonsdale

Ep 146: Jake Paul & Geoff Woo on Building Anti Fund, the Future of the Creator Economy & How to Change the Culture

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Attention as the ultimate currency - Jake leverages his massive Gen Z reach to provide unique value to portfolio companies like Anduril and OpenAI, proving that creators can be elite venture capitalists.
“Attention is the most valuable currency.”
— Jake Paul
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Prediction markets are the future of engagement - The partnership between Betr and Polymarket highlights a shift toward culture-driven finance where users bet on real-world outcomes rather than just sports.
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The creator-to-patriot pipeline - Jake is shifting his influence toward political activism and national pride, arguing that creators must lead the next generation back to a builder mindset and American values.
“Attention is the most valuable currency.”
— Jake Paul

MAR 20, 2026Bankless

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Regulatory clarity arrives - The SEC and CFTC have finally delivered a framework for token classification, marking a definitive end to the 'regulation by enforcement' era.
“Is this a real regime shift or just a relief rally?”
— Ryan Sean Adams
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Bitcoin's regime shift - BTC is decoupling from equities and gold during geopolitical tension, suggesting its transition into a primary global macro hedge.
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The agentic payments war - A new battleground has emerged between Tempo and incumbents like Stripe/Coinbase to define the standards for how AI agents transact onchain.
“Is this a real regime shift or just a relief rally?”
— Ryan Sean Adams

MAR 16, 2026Bankless

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The $90 trillion wealth transfer is Robinhood's North Star - The platform is positioning itself as the primary destination for the massive generational shift of assets by building a 'financial super app' that blends TradFi and DeFi.
“The popular narrative around Gen Z as financially reckless misses what we’re seeing on-platform; they are the most retirement-savvy generation ever.”
— Vlad Tenev
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Gen Z is unfairly labeled as reckless - Internal data reveals that Gen Z is actually the most retirement-savvy generation in history, engaging with long-term investment vehicles far earlier and more consistently than previous cohorts.
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24/7 markets and tokenization are the inevitable end-state - Tenev views the move toward constant liquidity and on-chain assets as a fundamental infrastructure upgrade that will eventually include everything from stocks to private markets.
“The popular narrative around Gen Z as financially reckless misses what we’re seeing on-platform; they are the most retirement-savvy generation ever.”
— Vlad Tenev

MAR 17, 2026Stripe

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Regulatory Combat as Strategy - Kalshi’s decision to sue the CFTC was a necessary pivot to unlock high-stakes election markets, proving that legal clarity is the ultimate moat for prediction platforms.
“The world is better off if people are incentivized to be right rather than just being loud.”
— Tarek Mansour
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Financializing Truth - Unlike social media which rewards outrage, prediction markets create a financial penalty for being wrong, effectively acting as a decentralized antidote to political polarization and misinformation.
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The NYSE of Everything - Beyond politics, the goal is to build a massive derivatives layer for 'culture and reality,' enabling users to hedge risks on everything from GPU supply chain delays to weather patterns and the Oscars.
“The world is better off if people are incentivized to be right rather than just being loud.”
— Tarek Mansour